RETURN TO OFFICE OUTLOOK

How the Labor Shortage Shapes Commercial Real Estate Trends

Role of Labor Markets in Return-to-Office Decisions

  • Health concerns were original reason for remote work, but worker preferences are now the biggest hurdle

  • Strong job gains continue to support consumption and CRE space demand

  • The U.S. currently has a substantial labor shortage which drives continued remote work trends

What it Could Take to Resolve the Labor Shortage

  • Overall unemployment rate is 3.7% and just 1.9% for college educated workers

  • Severe shift necessary to re-align employment trends

What this Means for Commercial Real Estate?

  • Remote work benefits suburban CRE space demand

  • Return-to-office would boost urban CRE demand

  • Lingering labor shortage a headwind for service staff dependent CRE like hotels and seniors housing